SNP On Course to Take Every Parliamentary Seat in Scotland

April 29, 2015

The Scotland National Party (SNP) appears to be on course to win every available seat in the House of Commons in the upcoming general election, according to a recent set of polling figures.

Ipsos Mori, the polling company, reports that a recent upswing in positivity in favour of the SNP has increased the party’s share of the vote and put it firmly on course for domination of the polls as far as Scottish voters are concerned.

There are 59 Scottish constituencies that send representatives to the UK parliament and, with projections suggesting it could take 54 per cent of the popular vote, SNP politicians could be elected in each of them.

With a 54 per cent share of the popular vote across Scotland, the SNP is well out in front of its nearest rival north of the border, the Labour party, which Ipsos Mori’s latest data puts at 20 per cent.

Remarkably, the SNP’s apparent share of the popular vote as it stands is more than three times that it secured at the 2010 general election.

However, while the SNP looks set for a tremendously positive outcome from its perspective in the coming days, Labour, which won 41 seats five years ago, is facing up to the prospect of effectively being wiped out as a party in Scotland.

Even Labour though, with its 20 per cent of the popular vote remains considerably more popular in Scotland than the Liberal Democrats who can currently only rely on the support of around 5 per cent of all Scottish voters.

Writing recently for the Huffington Post, Ipsos Mori’s research director Mark Diffley said: “The referendum appears to have changed the mood and the dynamic ahead of the general election; of course, if one party manages to capture the vast majority of the 45 per cent who backed independence last year then they have a significant advantage in an election.

“It is clear that, for the second year running, Scotland may be at the epi-centre of the country’s biggest political event,” he said.

Voters go to the polls across the UK on May 7th, with most experts convinced that there will again be a hung parliament and no party with an outright majority, as was the case in 2010.

John Baird

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